Schaff Trend Cycle

Strategy

Data as of Sunday, Mar 22, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+39.65%Net profit$396,473Gross profit$761,288Gross loss$581,728CAGR+2.84%Annualized return+2.84%Monthly average return+0.27%Median monthly return-0.98%
Best month return+7.51%Worst month return-8.52%Rolling 1-month return+11.56%Log return CAGR+10.59%Compounded vs simple return difference-39.52%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+24.49%Average drawdown+10.96%Median drawdown-8.51%Drawdown duration (max)893.9 daysAverage drawdown duration34.1 daysUlcer index12.21Pain index8.71Pain ratio8.58
Drawdown volatility4.78Worst peak-to-trough loss+24.49%% time in drawdown+86.61%Drawdown area801.86Downside deviation+14.20%Semi-variance3.53
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.26Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.17Sortino ratio0.45Calmar ratio0.19Sterling ratio0.19Burke ratio0.79Return / volatility2.37Return / downside risk2.42
Return / max drawdown1.55
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades30Win rate+41.33%Loss rate+58.67%Average win+6.29%Average loss-3.16%Win/Loss ratio2.07Expectancy+0.69%Profit factor1.54
Payoff ratio2.07Best trade+17.69%Worst trade-9.18%Trade return standard deviation+4.24%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)6
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+15.69%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark-0.01Alpha vs benchmark %+4.89%Information ratio-0.47Treynor ratio0.02

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+21.13%
Net profit$211,282
Gross profit$587,418
Gross loss$366,769
CAGR+3.92%
Annualized return+3.92%
Monthly average return+0.36%
Median monthly return-0.05%
Best month return+3.31%
Worst month return-7.36%
Rolling 1-month return+7.84%
Log return CAGR-18.39%
Compounded vs simple return difference-28.87%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+647.93%1.182.84+37.38%+57.69%265.30+28.32%
S&P/ASX 200Australia+3.27%0.080.11+14.39%+40.00%351.14+8.01%
BovespaBrazil+35.79%0.540.83+15.52%+48.15%271.89+11.15%
TSX CompositeCanada+11.48%0.260.36+13.51%+61.29%311.37+8.15%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+23.75%0.430.64+15.67%+48.28%291.59+9.65%
Euronext 100Europe+17.19%0.360.50+13.61%+46.67%301.50+8.59%
CAC 40France+19.35%0.360.51+16.10%+44.44%271.62+9.57%
DAXGermany+14.16%0.280.39+21.51%+44.83%291.41+9.32%
Hang SengHong Kong-5.94%-0.08-0.11+32.24%+33.33%301.02+16.53%
BSE SensexIndia+24.31%0.510.77+12.50%+33.33%301.68+8.47%
Nifty 50India+12.65%0.270.38+15.17%+34.38%321.33+8.88%
Nikkei 225Japan+6.45%0.100.14+30.53%+37.14%351.18+12.95%
KOSPISouth Korea+20.17%0.240.35+33.49%+33.33%331.43+15.42%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+12.61%0.320.47+14.06%+44.83%291.52+7.29%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+52.58%0.711.15+22.38%+48.28%292.04+11.72%
FTSE 100UK-2.23%-0.06-0.09+17.86%+39.39%330.96+7.10%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-93.98%-0.56-0.70+97.35%+22.58%310.29+101.62%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS+3.97%0.090.13+20.45%+38.71%311.15+8.69%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+10.70%0.150.22+23.59%+35.48%311.27+13.36%
Russell 2000US-2.73%-0.04-0.05+28.98%+31.03%291.03+14.77%
S&P 500US+21.13%0.380.58+17.89%+44.83%291.60+9.87%