Schaff Trend Cycle

Strategy

Data as of Monday, Feb 16, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+41.32%Net profit$413,236Gross profit$772,739Gross loss$587,966CAGR+3.02%Annualized return+3.02%Monthly average return+0.28%Median monthly return-0.11%
Best month return+4.33%Worst month return-3.78%Rolling 1-month return+10.64%Log return CAGR+9.50%Compounded vs simple return difference-38.93%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+24.69%Average drawdown+11.28%Median drawdown-5.27%Drawdown duration (max)965.9 daysAverage drawdown duration29.6 daysUlcer index12.41Pain index5.53Pain ratio14.78
Drawdown volatility2.68Worst peak-to-trough loss+24.69%% time in drawdown+82.29%Drawdown area500.51Downside deviation+13.71%Semi-variance1.67
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.29Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.55Sortino ratio0.50Calmar ratio0.21Sterling ratio0.21Burke ratio1.36Return / volatility2.61Return / downside risk2.73
Return / max drawdown1.70
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades30Win rate+41.07%Loss rate+58.93%Average win+6.27%Average loss-3.15%Win/Loss ratio2.12Expectancy+0.71%Profit factor1.57
Payoff ratio2.12Best trade+16.77%Worst trade-9.18%Trade return standard deviation+4.14%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)6
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+15.37%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark-0.03Alpha vs benchmark %+1.90%Information ratio-0.52Treynor ratio0.01

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+20.19%
Net profit$201,916
Gross profit$584,455
Gross loss$371,752
CAGR+3.76%
Annualized return+3.76%
Monthly average return+0.35%
Median monthly return-0.64%
Best month return+3.81%
Worst month return-1.88%
Rolling 1-month return+7.46%
Log return CAGR+7.89%
Compounded vs simple return difference-17.17%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+649.88%1.202.92+35.94%+55.56%274.93+27.92%
S&P/ASX 200Australia+4.16%0.100.14+14.40%+40.00%351.17+7.90%
BovespaBrazil+44.62%0.651.03+15.40%+46.15%262.07+11.05%
TSX CompositeCanada+11.85%0.280.38+13.56%+58.06%311.38+8.06%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+32.27%0.580.89+15.67%+46.43%281.87+9.36%
Euronext 100Europe+20.07%0.420.60+13.61%+46.67%301.59+8.39%
CAC 40France+28.37%0.510.75+16.09%+48.15%271.96+9.34%
DAXGermany+24.45%0.470.69+21.47%+42.86%281.71+9.03%
Hang SengHong Kong-5.90%-0.07-0.11+32.26%+33.33%301.02+16.61%
BSE SensexIndia+24.49%0.520.78+12.45%+34.48%291.70+8.48%
Nifty 50India+11.43%0.250.35+15.18%+33.33%331.30+8.83%
Nikkei 225Japan+2.12%0.030.05+30.64%+36.11%361.12+12.80%
KOSPISouth Korea+29.26%0.400.62+32.39%+37.50%321.59+12.80%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+13.54%0.350.52+14.04%+43.33%301.56+7.19%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+53.26%0.741.21+22.39%+48.28%292.05+11.34%
FTSE 100UK-1.68%-0.05-0.07+17.86%+39.39%330.98+6.93%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-94.68%-0.61-0.73+97.49%+25.00%320.24+99.69%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS+1.08%0.020.03+21.87%+35.48%311.08+8.70%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+9.83%0.140.20+23.68%+37.50%321.25+13.43%
Russell 2000US-10.82%-0.15-0.22+33.74%+30.00%300.91+14.98%
S&P 500US+20.19%0.360.55+18.30%+44.83%291.57+9.95%