From research paper to real strategy results

We continuously research, build, and validate systematic trading ideas with robust testing, then share transparent results so everyone can access evidence-based quant insights, not just institutions. We backtest quantitative trading strategies across global equity indices, options analysis on US index ETFs, portfolio optimization, sentiment tracking, and market regime detection - all with live data updated daily. Each strategy is documented with methodology, assumptions, risk metrics, drawdown behavior, and implementation notes so readers can evaluate both strengths and limitations before using any idea in practice. We focus on reproducible workflows: clear inputs, explainable rules, out-of-sample checks, and comparable reporting across assets and market regimes. From indicator research and options structures to portfolio construction and risk-control experiments, the goal is simple: make serious quantitative research transparent, verifiable, and useful for independent builders.

Global Research

US indices, options, and cross-market quant projects

Euronext2026·Paris · Amsterdam · Brussels · Milan · 252-day beta · leverage cap 2.5

Betting Against Beta on Euronext Large Caps

Long low-beta and short high-beta Euronext names, each leg levered toward unit beta with a cap of 2.5, measured against the EURO STOXX 50.

  • Factor Momentum in Pan-European Large Caps

    Euronext2026·Euronext constituents · MOM and SMB · 12-month factor timing

    Momentum and size factors built from Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels, and Milan large caps, then timed by their own trailing twelve-month return.

  • Variance Risk Premium on EURO STOXX 50

    Euronext2026·EURO STOXX 50 · VSTOXX · realised variance · sign rule

    VSTOXX implied variance minus EURO STOXX 50 realised variance, the slope onto next-month index returns, and a long-index rule that is on only when the premium is positive.

  • One-Month Reversal on Hang Seng Constituents

    HKEX2026·HKEX constituents · prior-month quintiles · loser minus winner · 20 bps

    Jegadeesh one-month reversal on Hang Seng constituents: long last month's bottom quintile, short the top quintile, with a 20 bp turnover haircut.

US Research

US indices, options, and equity studies View all US projects

US2026·J/K/N · Deflated Sharpe · CSCV/PBO · walk-forward · stress tests

Detecting Overfitting in Momentum Strategies

Multi-stage overfitting diagnostics for S&P 500 J/K/N winners-only momentum: DSR, disparity, sensitivity, block bootstrap, CSCV/PBO, walk-forward CV, and stress-tested selection.

  • US Equity vs US Multi-Asset Risk-Adjusted Study

    US2026·US equity · US bonds · REITs · Sharpe tests · drawdown tests · interactive diagnostics

    Comparative allocation study of US equity-only versus US multi-asset portfolios (stocks, bonds, REITs) with hypothesis testing, frontier diagnostics, and interactive risk-adjusted analytics.

  • Cross-section shrinkage lab (ETF panel)

    US2026·Python, Recharts, PCA, shrinkage, cross-sectional R²

    Yahoo Finance ETF panel: PCA spectrum, cross-sectional R² vs K, pseudo-OOS folds, ridge diagnostics. JSON from npm run data:shrinking-cross-section.

  • Portfolio Stress Lab

    US2026·Crisis replay · compound stress · VaR/ES suite · FFP reweighting · regime correlation

    Institutional portfolio stress laboratory: historical crisis replay, univariate and compound parametric shocks, historical/parametric/Monte Carlo tail risk, Fully Flexible Probability reweighting, forward GARCH simulation, and cross-study tail-risk attribution.

Top Performers

Equity leaders ranked by statistical validation score; options and portfolios by Sharpe

Data as of 2026-11-13

Abbreviations

Sh
Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return)
Ret
Average return
MDD
Maximum drawdown
Win
Win rate
Stat
Cumulative statistical efficiency score (% validation gates passed)
Trd
Average trades per symbol
Cov
Number of symbols covered
Vol
Annualized volatility
Sort
Sortino ratio (downside risk-adjusted return)
Calm
Calmar ratio (return / max drawdown)
VaR
95% daily value-at-risk
CVaR
95% daily conditional value-at-risk
AvgDD
Average drawdown

Yield Curve Intelligence

This panel summarises US Treasury term-structure dynamics: inversion diagnostics on benchmark spreads, Nelson–Siegel level, slope, and curvature, and a macro risk regime that combines curve shape with equity drawdown context. It is a condensed view of the live monitor in our Yield Curve Intelligence study, where the full factor history, regime tables, and methodology are documented.

The figures below update from the latest available curve snapshot. The headline cards report the current 10Y–3M spread, the classified regime, and how often the curve has been inverted over the sample; the chart traces the same spreads through the most recent sessions so you can judge whether flattening is isolated or persistent.

Read spreads against zero: negative values mean short rates exceed long rates for that pair. A brief dip below zero is not, by itself, a recession signal; sustained inversion—especially when it aligns with risk-off equity conditions—has more often preceded macro slowdowns, though lead times and severity still vary by cycle.

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US Sector Seasonality

View all US Sector Seasonality

This section tracks recurring calendar effects in US equity sectors using eleven SPDR Select Sector ETFs (GICS) and SPY as the benchmark. Each heatmap cell is the unconditional average monthly total return for that sector in that calendar month, pooled across all years in the sample from 2019 onward.

What this widget shows

  • Heatmap — sector rows × calendar-month columns; green cells mark historically positive months, red cells mark negative drift.
  • Seasonality dispersion (σ) — how much each group's calendar profile varies month-to-month; cyclicals typically show wider swings than defensives.
  • SPY best month — the calendar month with the highest average broad-market return in the sample window.

Full methodology, cyclical vs defensive tables, quarterly profiles, benchmark-relative rotation, and exploratory t-tests are on the Calendar Effects in US GICS Sector ETFs project page.

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Fundamental Stock Analysis

Composite leaders and sector-level factor scores

Composite leaders and average value, quality, and growth scores by sector from the latest US large-cap fundamentals dataset.

View fundamental stock analysis project
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Strategy Library

Backtested quantitative trading strategiesView all Strategy Library

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Fundamental Trading Strategies

Cross-sectional long-short backtests on US equitiesView all Fundamental Trading Strategies

Ranked snapshot of strategy performance metrics.

No fundamental strategy dataset found yet. Run npm run data:fundamental-strategies.

Options Strategies

US equity options backtested across expirations (drawdown by cycle)View all Options Strategies
Category:

Volatility

Sharpe: 0.735Return: +1127.470%Max DD: +122.197%Win: +77.630%Tickers: 4

Volatility

Sharpe: 0.735Return: +1127.470%Max DD: +122.197%Win: +77.630%Tickers: 4

Volatility

Sharpe: 0.695Return: +1286.865%Max DD: +286.320%Win: +81.578%Tickers: 4

Volatility

Sharpe: 0.670Return: +486.867%Max DD: +104.043%Win: +81.578%Tickers: 4

Spread

Sharpe: 0.462Return: +2099.758%Max DD: +355.635%Win: +46.055%Tickers: 4

Spread

Sharpe: 0.462Return: +2099.758%Max DD: +355.635%Win: +46.055%Tickers: 4

Volatility

Sharpe: 0.375Return: +3818.790%Max DD: +484.475%Win: +35.528%Tickers: 4

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Relative Rotation Graph

Sector ETFs vs S&P 500 — sector rotationView all Relative Rotation Graph
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Clustering Portfolio Analytics

View all Clustering Portfolio Analytics

Per-cluster training statistics—count, mean return, volatility, Sharpe, and beta—for K-means groups on scaled risk/return features. Full methodology, charts, and validation backtests are on the Diversified Stock Portfolio Clustering project page.

ClusterCountReturnVolSharpeBeta
17111.200%24.400%0.4760.619
219-19.300%54.600%-0.3781.610
34316.300%37.800%0.4191.266
460-6.600%30.400%-0.2150.757

Mean return

Mean volatility

Mean Sharpe

Adaptive Portfolios Analytics

View all Adaptive Portfolios Analytics

Online portfolio selection (OLPS) updates weights each period from past prices alone—no forward-looking labels—making it a natural test bed for adaptive allocation under regime change. This study benchmarks fourteen published and baseline rules (momentum, mean-reversion, and pattern-learning families) on a diversified six-ETF sleeve spanning US equity, international equity, emerging markets, Treasuries, inflation-linked bonds, and REITs (VTI, EFA, EEM, TLT, TIP, VNQ).

Each algorithm is estimated on 2015–2022 daily closes and evaluated out-of-sample on 2023–2024 with daily rebalancing, zero look-ahead, and wealth indices reset to 1.0 at the test start. SPY and an equal-weight universe portfolio (UFR) anchor absolute performance; a 0.1% per-trade fee variant is tracked in the full project for turnover-sensitive strategies.

The panels below highlight the leading test-period strategies and a cross-sectional risk–return map across fourteen OLPS rules on a six-ETF sleeve (VTI, EFA, EEM, TLT, TIP, VNQ). For universe setup, equity paths, fee stress tests, and the full metrics table, see the Adaptive Portfolio Strategies project page.

ETFs: VTI, EFA, EEM, TLT, TIP, VNQ
Algorithms: 14
Test period: 2023-01-01 → 2024-12-31
1. PAMRFollow-the-Loser
Sharpe2.879
Return104.903%
Max DD-9.200%
2. OLMARFollow-the-Loser
Sharpe2.071
Return70.206%
Max DD-6.674%
3. BCRPBenchmark
Sharpe1.936
Return57.244%
Max DD-10.723%
AlgorithmTypeSharpe ↓Return Vol Max DD
PAMRFollow-the-Loser2.879104.903%15.095%-9.200%
OLMARFollow-the-Loser2.07170.206%14.813%-6.674%
BCRPBenchmark1.93657.244%13.205%-10.723%
RMRFollow-the-Loser1.18338.124%14.917%-7.994%
AnticorFollow-the-Loser1.11824.365%10.371%-9.148%
BAHBenchmark0.86518.116%10.103%-11.574%
EGFollow-the-Winner0.85417.795%10.057%-11.581%
CRPBenchmark0.85317.782%10.055%-11.581%
ONSFollow-the-Winner0.85317.768%10.055%-11.581%
CWMRFollow-the-Loser0.85317.782%10.055%-11.581%
CORNPattern Matching0.85317.774%10.055%-11.578%
BNNPattern Matching0.85217.757%10.054%-11.582%
UPFollow-the-Winner0.84217.333%9.939%-11.304%
KellyPattern Matching-0.030-0.665%11.138%-18.572%

All Projects

India and US research — newest firstFull projects index
1.
Betting Against Beta on Euronext Large Caps
EuronextLong low-beta and short high-beta Euronext names, each leg levered toward unit beta with a cap of 2.5, measured against the EURO STOXX 50.
2026Paris · Amsterdam · Brussels · Milan · 252-day beta · leverage cap 2.5
2.
Factor Momentum in Pan-European Large Caps
EuronextMomentum and size factors built from Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels, and Milan large caps, then timed by their own trailing twelve-month return.
2026Euronext constituents · MOM and SMB · 12-month factor timing
3.
Variance Risk Premium on EURO STOXX 50
EuronextVSTOXX implied variance minus EURO STOXX 50 realised variance, the slope onto next-month index returns, and a long-index rule that is on only when the premium is positive.
2026EURO STOXX 50 · VSTOXX · realised variance · sign rule
4.
One-Month Reversal on Hang Seng Constituents
HKEXJegadeesh one-month reversal on Hang Seng constituents: long last month's bottom quintile, short the top quintile, with a 20 bp turnover haircut.
2026HKEX constituents · prior-month quintiles · loser minus winner · 20 bps
5.
Equity Carry on Hang Seng Constituents
HKEXLong-high versus short-low trailing dividend carry on Hong Kong listings. Carry is twelve months of cash dividends divided by price, rebalanced monthly.
2026HKEX constituents · trailing dividends · tercile long-short · 15 bps
6.
Distance Pairs on Tokyo Large Caps
JPXGatev–Goetzmann–Rouwenhorst distance pairs on Tokyo large caps: 12-month formation, 6-month trading, up to eight disjoint pairs, and a z-score entry at 2.
2026TSE constituents · formation SSD · z-score ±2 · 5 bps per leg
7.
Overnight versus Intraday Returns on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
JPXEqual-weight split of the Tokyo session into close-to-open and open-to-close returns for Nikkei large caps, with Newey–West tests and a 1 bp overnight haircut.
2026TSE constituents · close-to-open · open-to-close · Newey–West
8.
Time-Series Momentum on Shanghai Indices and ETFs
SSEMoskowitz–Ooi–Pedersen time-series momentum on Shanghai indices and SSE-listed equity, bond, and gold ETFs, scaled by trailing volatility and charged 5 bps of turnover.
2026SSE indices · 12-1 sign · vol scaling · gold and Treasury ETFs

Showing 1–8 of 49 projects

Latest News

Global financial & marketsView all Latest News

Updated about 10 hours ago (latest item)

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Tools

Precision-engineered analytics View all Tools
1. Statistical Modeling Advanced regression analysis, time series forecasting, and multivariate statistical methods for complex data patterns.
2. Strategy Comparator Compare up to 4 strategies side-by-side using Sharpe, return, drawdown, win rate, and trade count.
3. Stock Sentiment Tracker US equity only: live prices and news sentiment (VADER) for major US stocks. See Sentiment page.
4. Risk Analytics Comprehensive risk assessment frameworks including VaR, CVaR, and stress testing methodologies.
5. Data Pipeline High-performance data processing infrastructure designed for large-scale quantitative analysis.
6. HFT Latency Budget Calculator Plan per-stage p99.9 tick-to-trade budgets and detect bottlenecks before live deployment.
7. Portfolio Optimization Modern portfolio theory implementation with multi-objective optimization and constraint handling.
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