From research paper to real strategy results

We continuously research, build, and validate systematic trading ideas with robust testing, then share transparent results so everyone can access evidence-based quant insights, not just institutions. We backtest quantitative trading strategies across global equity indices, options analysis on US index ETFs, portfolio optimization, sentiment tracking, and market regime detection - all with live data updated daily. Each strategy is documented with methodology, assumptions, risk metrics, drawdown behavior, and implementation notes so readers can evaluate both strengths and limitations before using any idea in practice. We focus on reproducible workflows: clear inputs, explainable rules, out-of-sample checks, and comparable reporting across assets and market regimes. From indicator research and options structures to portfolio construction and risk-control experiments, the goal is simple: make serious quantitative research transparent, verifiable, and useful for independent builders.

Global Research

US indices, options, and cross-market quant projects View all global projects

2026·J/K/N · Deflated Sharpe · CSCV/PBO · walk-forward · stress tests

Detecting Overfitting in Momentum Strategies

Multi-stage overfitting diagnostics for S&P 500 J/K/N winners-only momentum: DSR, disparity, sensitivity, block bootstrap, CSCV/PBO, walk-forward CV, and stress-tested selection.

  • US Equity vs US Multi-Asset Risk-Adjusted Study

    2026·US equity · US bonds · REITs · Sharpe tests · drawdown tests · interactive diagnostics

    Comparative allocation study of US equity-only versus US multi-asset portfolios (stocks, bonds, REITs) with hypothesis testing, frontier diagnostics, and interactive risk-adjusted analytics.

  • Cross-section shrinkage lab (ETF panel)

    2026·Python, Recharts, PCA, shrinkage, cross-sectional R²

    Yahoo Finance ETF panel: PCA spectrum, cross-sectional R² vs K, pseudo-OOS folds, ridge diagnostics. JSON from npm run data:shrinking-cross-section.

  • Portfolio Stress Lab

    2026·Crisis replay · compound stress · VaR/ES suite · FFP reweighting · regime correlation

    Institutional portfolio stress laboratory: historical crisis replay, univariate and compound parametric shocks, historical/parametric/Monte Carlo tail risk, Fully Flexible Probability reweighting, forward GARCH simulation, and cross-study tail-risk attribution.

India Research

Nifty 50 and Indian equity factor and portfolio studies View all India projects

2026·MST · TMFG · Centrality · Neighborhood MIP

Nifty 50 Graph-Constrained Portfolio Optimization

MST and TMFG networks on Nifty 50 with average-centrality and neighborhood constraints inside mean–variance programs, compared with HRP, HERC, and NCO.

  • India Six-Factor Premia, Attribution & Regime Analysis

    2026·FF6 · Nifty indices · Fund attribution

    Six-factor study of Indian equities: long-run premia, Nifty style-index regressions, momentum crash risk, mutual-fund attribution, and whether quality pays in downturns — with interactive charts.

  • Momentum Cadence and Portfolio Design in Indian Equities

    2026·12-1 momentum · 144 configurations · net of costs

    A systematic grid study of long-only 12-1 momentum on Indian equities: how rebalance interval, universe breadth, holdings count, and weighting scheme interact — with overlapping portfolios, transaction costs, and six-factor attribution.

  • NIFTY 50 Seasonal Analysis by Industry & SARIMA

    2026·Sector baskets · Industry cycle · SARIMA

    Report on NIFTY 50 calendar seasonality by industry: equal-weight sector baskets, cyclical vs defensive cycle spreads, benchmark-relative correlation, and SARIMA index diagnostics with full mathematical framework.

Top Performers

Equity leaders ranked by statistical validation score; options and portfolios by Sharpe

Yield Curve Intelligence

This panel summarises US Treasury term-structure dynamics: inversion diagnostics on benchmark spreads, Nelson–Siegel level, slope, and curvature, and a macro risk regime that combines curve shape with equity drawdown context. It is a condensed view of the live monitor in our Yield Curve Intelligence study, where the full factor history, regime tables, and methodology are documented.

The figures below update from the latest available curve snapshot. The headline cards report the current 10Y–3M spread, the classified regime, and how often the curve has been inverted over the sample; the chart traces the same spreads through the most recent sessions so you can judge whether flattening is isolated or persistent.

Read spreads against zero: negative values mean short rates exceed long rates for that pair. A brief dip below zero is not, by itself, a recession signal; sustained inversion—especially when it aligns with risk-off equity conditions—has more often preceded macro slowdowns, though lead times and severity still vary by cycle.

Loading yield curve data…

US Sector Seasonality

View all US Sector Seasonality

This section tracks recurring calendar effects in US equity sectors using eleven SPDR Select Sector ETFs (GICS) and SPY as the benchmark. Each heatmap cell is the unconditional average monthly total return for that sector in that calendar month, pooled across all years in the sample from 2019 onward.

What this widget shows

  • Heatmap — sector rows × calendar-month columns; green cells mark historically positive months, red cells mark negative drift.
  • Seasonality dispersion (σ) — how much each group's calendar profile varies month-to-month; cyclicals typically show wider swings than defensives.
  • SPY best month — the calendar month with the highest average broad-market return in the sample window.

Full methodology, cyclical vs defensive tables, quarterly profiles, benchmark-relative rotation, and exploratory t-tests are on the Calendar Effects in US GICS Sector ETFs project page.

Loading sector seasonality data…

Fundamental Stock Analysis

Composite leaders and sector-level factor scores

Composite leaders and average value, quality, and growth scores by sector from the latest US large-cap fundamentals dataset.

View fundamental stock analysis project
Loading fundamental data…

Strategy Library

Backtested quantitative trading strategiesView all Strategy Library

Generated Saturday, Jul 18, 2026

Type:71 of 71
Type: Chaikin OscillatorSharpe: 0.98Stat: 56%Return: +65.8%Max DD: -7.2%Win: +51.4%Trades: 37SL/TP: 3% / 5%
Type: WMA CrossoverSharpe: 0.94Stat: 67%Return: +34.1%Max DD: -8.3%Win: +60.0%Trades: 20SL/TP: 3% / 5%
Type: Bollinger BandsSharpe: 0.87Stat: 56%Return: +76.0%Max DD: -12.8%Win: +80.0%Trades: 15SL/TP: 7% / 10%
Type: Twiggs Money FlowSharpe: 0.87Stat: 63%Return: +51.7%Max DD: -10.3%Win: +50.0%Trades: 22SL/TP: 5% / 5%

Showing 1 to 5 of 71 strategies

Page 1 of 15

Fundamental Trading Strategies

Cross-sectional long-short backtests on US equitiesView all Fundamental Trading Strategies

Ranked snapshot of strategy performance metrics.

No fundamental strategy dataset found yet. Run npm run data:fundamental-strategies.

Options Strategies

US equity options backtested across expirations (drawdown by cycle)View all Options Strategies
Category:

Income

Sharpe: 4.65Return: +28.8%Max DD: +1.4%Win: +96.1%Tickers: 4

Income

Sharpe: 4.65Return: +28.8%Max DD: +1.4%Win: +96.1%Tickers: 4

Income

Sharpe: 4.65Return: +28.8%Max DD: +1.4%Win: +96.1%Tickers: 4

Neutral

Sharpe: 1.44Return: +47.0%Max DD: +2.0%Win: +85.5%Tickers: 4

Neutral

Sharpe: 1.44Return: +47.0%Max DD: +2.0%Win: +85.5%Tickers: 4

Neutral

Sharpe: 0.97Return: +30.8%Max DD: +2.7%Win: +75.0%Tickers: 4

Directional

Sharpe: 0.92Return: +709.5%Max DD: +33.7%Win: +77.6%Tickers: 4

Loading portfolio strategies…

Relative Rotation Graph

Sector ETFs vs S&P 500 — sector rotationView all Relative Rotation Graph
Loading RRG data…

Clustering Portfolio Analytics

View all Clustering Portfolio Analytics

Per-cluster training statistics—count, mean return, volatility, Sharpe, and beta—for K-means groups on scaled risk/return features. Full methodology, charts, and validation backtests are on the Diversified Stock Portfolio Clustering project page.

ClusterCountReturnVolSharpeBeta
15624.9%33.1%0.781.09
212-8.4%59.0%-0.151.94
341-9.1%32.4%-0.290.87
4866.3%24.6%0.270.71

Mean return

Mean volatility

Mean Sharpe

Adaptive Portfolios Analytics

View all Adaptive Portfolios Analytics

Online portfolio selection (OLPS) updates weights each period from past prices alone—no forward-looking labels—making it a natural test bed for adaptive allocation under regime change. This study benchmarks fourteen published and baseline rules (momentum, mean-reversion, and pattern-learning families) on a diversified six-ETF sleeve spanning US equity, international equity, emerging markets, Treasuries, inflation-linked bonds, and REITs (VTI, EFA, EEM, TLT, TIP, VNQ).

Each algorithm is estimated on 2015–2022 daily closes and evaluated out-of-sample on 2023–2024 with daily rebalancing, zero look-ahead, and wealth indices reset to 1.0 at the test start. SPY and an equal-weight universe portfolio (UFR) anchor absolute performance; a 0.1% per-trade fee variant is tracked in the full project for turnover-sensitive strategies.

The panels below highlight the leading test-period strategies and a cross-sectional risk–return map across fourteen OLPS rules on a six-ETF sleeve (VTI, EFA, EEM, TLT, TIP, VNQ). For universe setup, equity paths, fee stress tests, and the full metrics table, see the Adaptive Portfolio Strategies project page.

ETFs: VTI, EFA, EEM, TLT, TIP, VNQ
Algorithms: 14
Test period: 2023-01-01 2024-12-31
1. PAMRFollow-the-Loser
Sharpe2.88
Return104.9%
Max DD-9.2%
2. OLMARFollow-the-Loser
Sharpe2.07
Return70.2%
Max DD-6.7%
3. BCRPBenchmark
Sharpe1.94
Return57.2%
Max DD-10.7%
AlgorithmTypeSharpe Return Vol Max DD
PAMRFollow-the-Loser2.88104.90%15.10%-9.20%
OLMARFollow-the-Loser2.0770.21%14.81%-6.67%
BCRPBenchmark1.9457.24%13.21%-10.72%
RMRFollow-the-Loser1.1838.12%14.92%-7.99%
AnticorFollow-the-Loser1.1224.36%10.37%-9.15%
BAHBenchmark0.8618.12%10.10%-11.57%
EGFollow-the-Winner0.8517.80%10.06%-11.58%
CRPBenchmark0.8517.78%10.05%-11.58%
ONSFollow-the-Winner0.8517.77%10.05%-11.58%
CWMRFollow-the-Loser0.8517.78%10.05%-11.58%
CORNPattern Matching0.8517.77%10.05%-11.58%
BNNPattern Matching0.8517.76%10.05%-11.58%
UPFollow-the-Winner0.8217.90%10.48%-12.14%
KellyPattern Matching-0.03-0.67%11.14%-18.57%

All Projects

Global and India research — newest firstFull projects index
1.
Nifty 50 Graph-Constrained Portfolio Optimization
India · MST and TMFG networks on Nifty 50 with average-centrality and neighborhood constraints inside mean–variance programs, compared with HRP, HERC, and NCO.
2026MST · TMFG · Centrality · Neighborhood MIP
2.
Detecting Overfitting in Momentum Strategies
Global · Multi-stage overfitting diagnostics for S&P 500 J/K/N winners-only momentum: DSR, disparity, sensitivity, block bootstrap, CSCV/PBO, walk-forward CV, and stress-tested selection.
2026J/K/N · Deflated Sharpe · CSCV/PBO · walk-forward · stress tests
3.
US Equity vs US Multi-Asset Risk-Adjusted Study
Global · Comparative allocation study of US equity-only versus US multi-asset portfolios (stocks, bonds, REITs) with hypothesis testing, frontier diagnostics, and interactive risk-adjusted analytics.
2026US equity · US bonds · REITs · Sharpe tests · drawdown tests · interactive diagnostics
4.
India Six-Factor Premia, Attribution & Regime Analysis
India · Six-factor study of Indian equities: long-run premia, Nifty style-index regressions, momentum crash risk, mutual-fund attribution, and whether quality pays in downturns — with interactive charts.
2026FF6 · Nifty indices · Fund attribution
5.
Momentum Cadence and Portfolio Design in Indian Equities
India · A systematic grid study of long-only 12-1 momentum on Indian equities: how rebalance interval, universe breadth, holdings count, and weighting scheme interact — with overlapping portfolios, transaction costs, and six-factor attribution.
202612-1 momentum · 144 configurations · net of costs
6.
NIFTY 50 Seasonal Analysis by Industry & SARIMA
India · Report on NIFTY 50 calendar seasonality by industry: equal-weight sector baskets, cyclical vs defensive cycle spreads, benchmark-relative correlation, and SARIMA index diagnostics with full mathematical framework.
2026Sector baskets · Industry cycle · SARIMA
7.
Nifty 50 Value-Momentum-Size Long-Short Strategy
India · Nifty 50 Value, Momentum, and Size: Fama–MacBeth premia, IC/IR, and a 20%/20% long–short backtest on NSE data via yfinance — with interactive performance charts.
2026Nifty 50 · Fama–MacBeth · L/S
8.
Nifty 50 Alpha101 Selection & Composite Factor Research
India · Formulaic alphas on Nifty 50: cross-sectional cleaning, IC screening, linear and machine-learning composites, and quintile backtests — full research report with interactive charts.
2026Alpha101 · IC · L/S quintiles

Showing 18 of 40 projects

Tools

Precision-engineered analytics View all Tools
1. Statistical Modeling Advanced regression analysis, time series forecasting, and multivariate statistical methods for complex data patterns.
2. Strategy Comparator Compare up to 4 strategies side-by-side using Sharpe, return, drawdown, win rate, and trade count.
3. Stock Sentiment Tracker US equity only: live prices and news sentiment (VADER) for major US stocks. See Sentiment page.
4. Risk Analytics Comprehensive risk assessment frameworks including VaR, CVaR, and stress testing methodologies.
5. Data Pipeline High-performance data processing infrastructure designed for large-scale quantitative analysis.
6. HFT Latency Budget Calculator Plan per-stage p99.9 tick-to-trade budgets and detect bottlenecks before live deployment.
7. Portfolio Optimization Modern portfolio theory implementation with multi-objective optimization and constraint handling.
QuantifiedTrader logoQuantifiedTrader

Independent quantitative research on trading methods, backtesting, and market analytics.

Research disclaimer

QuantifiedTrader is operated by an independent quantitative research group. We study, document, and compare different methods of trading, portfolio construction, risk management, and investment analysis. Our work is exploratory and academic in nature—we build tools, run backtests, and publish findings to advance understanding, not to promote any particular strategy or product.

Not investment advice. Nothing on this website constitutes investment, trading, financial, tax, legal, or other professional advice. We do not recommend, endorse, or solicit the purchase or sale of any security, derivative, or financial instrument, nor do we suggest that any strategy, model, or result presented here is suitable for any individual or institution. Any examples, simulations, or performance figures are illustrative research outputs only.

No client or advisory relationship. We do not provide investment advisory, brokerage, portfolio-management, custody, or asset-management services to any person or entity. Browsing this site, using our tools, or contacting us does not create a client, fiduciary, or advisory relationship. We do not manage money on behalf of third parties and do not act as agents for any financial institution.

Research & education only. Content, datasets, backtests, charts, code, and software made available here are for informational and educational research. Materials may be incomplete, simulated, hypothetical, or derived from third-party sources that we do not control. Past performance, backtested results, and historical analyses are not indicative of future results. Market conditions change; models may fail; assumptions may be wrong. You are solely responsible for evaluating any information and for all decisions you make.

No responsibility or liability. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, QuantifiedTrader and its contributors disclaim all responsibility and liability for any loss, damage, cost, or expense—direct or indirect—arising from access to, use of, or reliance on this website, its content, or its tools. All materials are provided “as is” and “as available,” without warranties of any kind, whether express or implied, including but not limited to accuracy, completeness, fitness for a particular purpose, or non-infringement.

Non-commercial research sharing. This site does not aim to profit from the knowledge, tools, or datasets published here. Materials are shared for non-commercial research and learning, subject to applicable open-source or site terms where noted. We are a research collective, not a commercial product or service provider.

Contact. For questions about this notice, the site, or published research materials, contact support@quantedx.com. Correspondence is for administrative and research purposes only and does not constitute advice or create any professional obligation on our part.

© 2026 QuantifiedTrader. All rights reserved.