Keltner Squeeze

Strategy

Data as of Monday, Feb 16, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+68.01%Net profit$680,150Gross profit$565,737Gross loss$466,728CAGR+2.77%Annualized return+2.77%Monthly average return+0.14%Median monthly return-1.55%
Best month return+3.36%Worst month return-5.82%Rolling 1-month return+7.06%Log return CAGR+1.43%Compounded vs simple return difference-70.76%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+18.52%Average drawdown+10.45%Median drawdown-7.25%Drawdown duration (max)871.4 daysAverage drawdown duration37.4 daysUlcer index10.99Pain index7.05Pain ratio24.98
Drawdown volatility3.06Worst peak-to-trough loss+18.52%% time in drawdown+86.86%Drawdown area669.14Downside deviation+14.10%Semi-variance2.02
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.23Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.37Sortino ratio0.53Calmar ratio0.35Sterling ratio0.35Burke ratio2.22Return / volatility3.47Return / downside risk3.49
Return / max drawdown4.00
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades24Win rate+43.02%Loss rate+56.98%Average win+5.39%Average loss-2.88%Win/Loss ratio2.10Expectancy+0.48%Profit factor1.89
Payoff ratio2.10Best trade+14.41%Worst trade-6.60%Trade return standard deviation+3.31%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)5
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+12.03%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark-0.03Alpha vs benchmark %-1.45%Information ratio-0.60Treynor ratio0.01

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return-1.43%
Net profit-$14,305
Gross profit$299,431
Gross loss$303,555
CAGR-0.29%
Annualized return-0.29%
Monthly average return-0.00%
Median monthly return+0.61%
Best month return+2.35%
Worst month return-4.14%
Rolling 1-month return+3.98%
Log return CAGR-8.08%
Compounded vs simple return difference-1.82%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+1261.49%1.394.05+21.40%+56.00%258.17+29.42%
S&P/ASX 200Australia-7.08%-0.26-0.34+16.80%+37.04%270.73+5.72%
BovespaBrazil+17.63%0.410.61+17.51%+45.83%241.60+7.92%
TSX CompositeCanada+20.38%0.570.84+7.71%+57.69%262.24+6.40%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+9.26%0.250.35+11.11%+41.67%241.33+6.99%
Euronext 100Europe+2.17%0.070.09+9.32%+50.00%241.11+6.17%
CAC 40France+5.36%0.160.21+15.39%+38.10%211.26+6.45%
DAXGermany+18.37%0.470.70+8.71%+45.83%241.75+7.01%
Hang SengHong Kong-8.05%-0.14-0.21+21.70%+26.09%230.92+12.14%
BSE SensexIndia+18.37%0.500.73+16.66%+39.13%231.73+6.74%
Nifty 50India+12.83%0.340.49+15.34%+37.50%241.51+7.15%
Nikkei 225Japan+28.49%0.480.77+17.74%+48.00%251.80+10.48%
KOSPISouth Korea+76.24%1.031.83+10.25%+55.00%204.42+10.69%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+11.86%0.400.59+6.66%+52.38%211.96+5.55%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+57.82%0.991.72+11.02%+62.50%243.42+9.11%
FTSE 100UK-5.25%-0.21-0.28+15.83%+40.00%250.77+5.04%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-98.84%-1.65-1.17+99.13%+11.54%260.07+75.32%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS-1.24%-0.04-0.05+10.39%+44.00%250.96+6.53%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+32.07%0.550.86+11.06%+52.17%232.48+9.77%
Russell 2000US-22.14%-0.49-0.63+33.33%+30.77%260.56+10.56%
S&P 500US-1.43%-0.04-0.05+11.94%+32.14%280.99+7.38%