Stochastic Reversion

Strategy

Data as of Monday, Feb 16, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+52.20%Net profit$522,028Gross profit$590,047Gross loss$166,052CAGR+7.07%Annualized return+7.07%Monthly average return+0.73%Median monthly return+2.25%
Best month return+7.33%Worst month return-3.72%Rolling 1-month return+14.24%Log return CAGR+21.75%Compounded vs simple return difference-45.43%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+19.87%Average drawdown+6.77%Median drawdown-5.06%Drawdown duration (max)756.9 daysAverage drawdown duration23.4 daysUlcer index7.73Pain index5.16Pain ratio16.29
Drawdown volatility3.26Worst peak-to-trough loss+19.87%% time in drawdown+82.95%Drawdown area457.16Downside deviation+16.47%Semi-variance1.74
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.47Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.51Sortino ratio0.83Calmar ratio0.44Sterling ratio0.44Burke ratio1.50Return / volatility3.45Return / downside risk2.91
Return / max drawdown3.04
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades14Win rate+71.80%Loss rate+28.20%Average win+8.80%Average loss-4.36%Win/Loss ratio2.04Expectancy+4.39%Profit factor9.76
Payoff ratio2.04Best trade+21.03%Worst trade-7.05%Trade return standard deviation+4.05%Consecutive wins (max)5Consecutive losses (max)2
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+16.88%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark-0.05Alpha vs benchmark %+9.16%Information ratio-0.36Treynor ratio0.03

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+21.99%
Net profit$219,900
Gross profit$363,324
Gross loss$150,503
CAGR+4.07%
Annualized return+4.07%
Monthly average return+0.36%
Median monthly return+4.86%
Best month return+8.41%
Worst month return-2.62%
Rolling 1-month return+12.22%
Log return CAGR+23.01%
Compounded vs simple return difference-13.51%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+410.54%1.283.21+18.92%+86.67%1539.17+22.02%
S&P/ASX 200Australia+5.18%0.130.18+11.31%+53.85%131.42+7.74%
BovespaBrazil-3.25%-0.06-0.08+23.05%+50.00%141.01+11.42%
TSX CompositeCanada+25.60%0.530.79+12.62%+78.57%145.39+8.50%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+35.43%0.520.87+16.97%+75.00%124.50+11.33%
Euronext 100Europe+74.05%1.172.24+10.16%+81.25%1632.13+8.84%
CAC 40France+34.19%0.490.79+16.29%+80.00%154.09+11.44%
DAXGermany+16.40%0.280.43+17.80%+69.23%132.03+10.57%
Hang SengHong Kong-23.02%-0.29-0.39+40.06%+40.00%150.56+18.75%
BSE SensexIndia+36.97%1.001.75+7.21%+85.71%1415.77+6.25%
Nifty 50India+21.58%0.610.98+8.37%+72.73%114.55+6.43%
Nikkei 225Japan+59.81%0.620.98+19.21%+81.25%1611.80+14.90%
KOSPISouth Korea+6.21%0.100.14+22.86%+56.25%161.32+12.63%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+38.47%0.671.03+13.95%+77.78%184.60+9.46%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+9.53%0.140.20+23.89%+57.14%141.48+13.26%
FTSE 100UK+47.24%0.981.55+11.74%+93.33%1556.19+7.54%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS+198.95%0.110.37+66.89%+60.00%55.77+120.67%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS+44.51%0.771.34+11.19%+86.67%157.62+9.20%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+23.81%0.250.39+28.05%+76.47%171.81+16.40%
Russell 2000US+12.06%0.140.21+20.36%+62.50%161.43+15.92%
S&P 500US+21.99%0.350.54+16.45%+83.33%122.41+11.15%