Volatility Breakout

Strategy

Data as of Monday, Feb 16, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+63.05%Net profit$630,517Gross profit$536,426Gross loss$445,587CAGR+2.55%Annualized return+2.55%Monthly average return+0.13%Median monthly return-0.80%
Best month return+3.52%Worst month return-6.50%Rolling 1-month return+7.39%Log return CAGR+6.45%Compounded vs simple return difference-64.08%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+18.75%Average drawdown+10.45%Median drawdown-7.18%Drawdown duration (max)792.5 daysAverage drawdown duration34.7 daysUlcer index11.09Pain index7.10Pain ratio22.61
Drawdown volatility2.81Worst peak-to-trough loss+18.75%% time in drawdown+86.52%Drawdown area670.91Downside deviation+14.44%Semi-variance2.04
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.18Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.38Sortino ratio0.46Calmar ratio0.32Sterling ratio0.32Burke ratio1.99Return / volatility3.11Return / downside risk3.13
Return / max drawdown3.70
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades23Win rate+40.07%Loss rate+59.93%Average win+5.67%Average loss-2.72%Win/Loss ratio2.39Expectancy+0.51%Profit factor2.03
Payoff ratio2.39Best trade+15.13%Worst trade-5.89%Trade return standard deviation+3.26%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)5
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+11.78%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark-0.02Alpha vs benchmark %-1.73%Information ratio-0.62Treynor ratio0.00

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+3.78%
Net profit$37,767
Gross profit$305,827
Gross loss$259,114
CAGR+0.75%
Annualized return+0.75%
Monthly average return+0.08%
Median monthly return+0.93%
Best month return+2.02%
Worst month return-1.20%
Rolling 1-month return+3.73%
Log return CAGR+0.07%
Compounded vs simple return difference-3.75%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+1176.33%1.353.90+21.25%+58.33%2410.28+29.62%
S&P/ASX 200Australia-15.29%-0.59-0.74+19.11%+25.00%280.46+5.68%
BovespaBrazil+22.05%0.500.76+13.18%+47.83%231.90+7.80%
TSX CompositeCanada+10.25%0.320.44+9.68%+44.44%271.53+6.04%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+5.79%0.160.22+10.85%+34.78%231.24+6.88%
Euronext 100Europe+7.61%0.240.33+7.06%+52.38%211.40+6.03%
CAC 40France+3.08%0.090.12+14.67%+40.00%201.16+6.43%
DAXGermany+19.84%0.480.73+9.98%+50.00%221.95+7.27%
Hang SengHong Kong-5.44%-0.09-0.14+19.82%+26.09%230.96+12.32%
BSE SensexIndia+11.05%0.300.43+18.73%+29.17%241.44+6.97%
Nifty 50India+13.37%0.360.50+18.48%+34.78%231.54+7.08%
Nikkei 225Japan+33.69%0.550.90+15.17%+52.38%212.23+10.46%
KOSPISouth Korea+80.52%1.061.89+12.00%+52.63%195.62+10.77%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+0.96%0.040.05+10.05%+41.67%241.07+5.51%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+65.71%1.091.92+9.72%+68.18%224.46+9.14%
FTSE 100UK-6.30%-0.25-0.33+17.41%+33.33%240.73+5.15%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-98.44%-1.60-1.18+98.44%+11.54%260.11+71.18%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS-5.80%-0.20-0.27+11.96%+34.62%260.77+6.18%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+26.22%0.470.72+12.40%+42.86%212.15+9.66%
Russell 2000US-24.90%-0.57-0.73+32.28%+30.77%260.47+10.29%
S&P 500US+3.78%0.110.15+11.51%+30.77%261.18+6.99%