Random Walk Index

Strategy

Data as of Monday, Feb 16, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+35.43%Net profit$354,259Gross profit$578,936Gross loss$447,648CAGR+2.43%Annualized return+2.43%Monthly average return+0.19%Median monthly return+0.08%
Best month return+4.75%Worst month return-7.03%Rolling 1-month return+8.54%Log return CAGR+1.01%Compounded vs simple return difference-38.18%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+18.25%Average drawdown+9.79%Median drawdown-7.15%Drawdown duration (max)877.6 daysAverage drawdown duration45.1 daysUlcer index10.50Pain index7.21Pain ratio14.10
Drawdown volatility2.95Worst peak-to-trough loss+18.25%% time in drawdown+85.90%Drawdown area680.04Downside deviation+14.69%Semi-variance2.02
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.29Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.43Sortino ratio0.56Calmar ratio0.32Sterling ratio0.32Burke ratio1.24Return / volatility2.68Return / downside risk2.54
Return / max drawdown2.35
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades29Win rate+43.92%Loss rate+56.08%Average win+4.54%Average loss-2.77%Win/Loss ratio2.01Expectancy+0.32%Profit factor1.80
Payoff ratio2.01Best trade+14.05%Worst trade-7.21%Trade return standard deviation+3.19%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)5
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+11.44%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark-0.00Alpha vs benchmark %-0.56%Information ratio-0.57Treynor ratio0.01

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+14.60%
Net profit$146,039
Gross profit$371,867
Gross loss$225,911
CAGR+2.77%
Annualized return+2.77%
Monthly average return+0.24%
Median monthly return+0.36%
Best month return+3.55%
Worst month return-2.58%
Rolling 1-month return+4.50%
Log return CAGR+9.80%
Compounded vs simple return difference-10.86%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+546.49%1.162.72+28.79%+53.33%304.56+27.16%
S&P/ASX 200Australia-3.07%-0.10-0.14+11.76%+40.00%350.89+6.02%
BovespaBrazil+21.36%0.520.81+11.06%+50.00%241.92+7.32%
TSX CompositeCanada+9.20%0.280.39+12.34%+46.67%301.44+6.31%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+16.50%0.420.62+10.97%+44.83%291.62+7.25%
Euronext 100Europe+17.09%0.460.69+9.64%+38.71%311.62+6.57%
CAC 40France+12.79%0.350.51+13.43%+41.38%291.43+6.63%
DAXGermany+38.35%0.831.35+8.78%+44.83%292.53+7.45%
Hang SengHong Kong-12.44%-0.24-0.34+24.03%+32.00%250.77+11.49%
BSE SensexIndia+0.96%0.030.04+18.61%+37.93%291.06+6.90%
Nifty 50India+7.69%0.220.30+17.58%+39.29%281.29+6.95%
Nikkei 225Japan+16.32%0.310.48+15.48%+45.16%311.51+9.73%
KOSPISouth Korea+53.13%0.831.36+17.75%+50.00%262.87+10.13%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+35.05%1.081.75+4.76%+65.22%235.18+5.47%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+65.66%1.041.84+9.24%+58.06%313.26+9.55%
FTSE 100UK-5.43%-0.22-0.29+14.13%+36.36%330.80+5.21%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-95.94%-1.21-1.05+95.94%+27.27%220.20+66.34%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS-3.34%-0.11-0.15+10.66%+41.18%340.90+6.39%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+22.65%0.400.62+14.87%+41.94%311.65+9.91%
Russell 2000US-13.67%-0.29-0.39+24.32%+43.33%300.70+10.27%
S&P 500US+14.60%0.370.56+9.22%+44.74%381.65+7.25%