Linear Regression Slope

Strategy

Data as of Monday, Feb 16, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+88.84%Net profit$888,416Gross profit$829,646Gross loss$655,360CAGR+3.74%Annualized return+3.74%Monthly average return+0.26%Median monthly return+1.13%
Best month return+4.95%Worst month return-4.85%Rolling 1-month return+10.44%Log return CAGR+12.95%Compounded vs simple return difference-86.19%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+24.28%Average drawdown+11.98%Median drawdown-5.74%Drawdown duration (max)982.0 daysAverage drawdown duration28.4 daysUlcer index12.91Pain index5.63Pain ratio29.15
Drawdown volatility2.70Worst peak-to-trough loss+24.28%% time in drawdown+82.38%Drawdown area509.43Downside deviation+14.14%Semi-variance1.74
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.24Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.82Sortino ratio0.49Calmar ratio0.24Sterling ratio0.24Burke ratio2.68Return / volatility3.68Return / downside risk4.34
Return / max drawdown3.22
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades30Win rate+41.66%Loss rate+58.34%Average win+6.70%Average loss-3.26%Win/Loss ratio2.16Expectancy+0.77%Profit factor1.62
Payoff ratio2.16Best trade+19.26%Worst trade-9.90%Trade return standard deviation+4.45%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)6
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+15.77%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark0.00Alpha vs benchmark %-0.43%Information ratio-0.55Treynor ratio0.01

Performance Comparison

Compare variants: other parameter variations of the same base strategy.

MetricLinear Regression SlopeLinear Regression Reversion
Return & Growth
Total return+88.84%+7.42%
Net profit$888,416$74,202
Gross profit$829,646$219,768
Gross loss$655,360$144,630
CAGR+3.74%+1.36%
Annualized return+3.74%+1.36%
Monthly average return+0.26%+0.12%
Median monthly return+1.13%+1.43%
Best month return+4.95%+6.08%
Worst month return-4.85%-4.65%
Rolling 1-month return+10.44%+9.03%
Log return CAGR+12.95%+14.64%
Compounded vs simple return difference-86.19%-2.96%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+24.28%+13.65%
Average drawdown+11.98%+4.95%
Median drawdown-5.74%-5.65%
Drawdown duration (max)982.0 days1139.4 days
Average drawdown duration28.4 days25.9 days
Ulcer index12.915.70
Pain index5.635.37
Pain ratio29.155.55
Drawdown volatility2.703.18
Worst peak-to-trough loss+24.28%+13.65%
% time in drawdown+82.38%+84.81%
Drawdown area509.43443.32
Downside deviation+14.14%+17.79%
Semi-variance1.741.38
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.240.21
Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.821.49
Sortino ratio0.490.39
Calmar ratio0.240.17
Sterling ratio0.240.17
Burke ratio2.680.34
Return / volatility3.681.20
Return / downside risk4.340.53
Return / max drawdown3.220.93
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades3017
Win rate+41.66%+66.51%
Loss rate+58.34%+33.49%
Average win+6.70%+2.14%
Average loss-3.26%-2.65%
Win/Loss ratio2.160.80
Expectancy+0.77%+0.48%
Profit factor1.621.72
Payoff ratio2.160.80
Best trade+19.26%+4.41%
Worst trade-9.90%-6.73%
Trade return standard deviation+4.45%+1.51%
Consecutive wins (max)35
Consecutive losses (max)63
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+15.77%+6.82%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark0.000.05
Alpha vs benchmark %-0.43%+0.73%
Information ratio-0.55-0.57
Treynor ratio0.010.03

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+22.48%
Net profit$224,806
Gross profit$654,042
Gross loss$402,812
CAGR+4.15%
Annualized return+4.15%
Monthly average return+0.39%
Median monthly return+2.53%
Best month return+5.13%
Worst month return-2.68%
Rolling 1-month return+7.48%
Log return CAGR+25.47%
Compounded vs simple return difference-13.16%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+1643.38%1.303.86+32.03%+50.00%306.16+33.49%
S&P/ASX 200Australia+3.01%0.070.09+16.54%+36.67%301.14+8.86%
BovespaBrazil+19.53%0.320.47+22.58%+42.86%281.46+10.87%
TSX CompositeCanada+18.46%0.390.53+15.22%+50.00%261.57+8.64%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+10.00%0.200.27+17.30%+50.00%281.33+9.61%
Euronext 100Europe+5.72%0.130.17+18.27%+43.75%321.18+8.67%
CAC 40France+6.96%0.140.20+15.81%+46.67%301.24+9.09%
DAXGermany+22.88%0.410.60+15.02%+48.28%291.70+9.71%
Hang SengHong Kong-0.09%-0.00-0.00+27.83%+30.00%301.09+15.54%
BSE SensexIndia+12.76%0.270.38+16.07%+35.71%281.34+9.12%
Nifty 50India+15.87%0.310.46+15.52%+30.00%301.43+9.37%
Nikkei 225Japan+12.16%0.170.26+29.03%+32.35%341.28+13.44%
KOSPISouth Korea+79.10%0.881.49+17.33%+43.33%302.79+12.82%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+10.94%0.260.37+17.82%+48.15%271.43+7.83%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+63.13%0.791.28+20.42%+50.00%282.42+12.13%
FTSE 100UK+0.42%0.010.01+15.51%+37.50%321.05+7.96%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-98.86%-1.22-0.99+99.45%+21.43%420.23+93.84%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS+0.00%0.000.00+20.57%+44.44%271.08+9.61%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+18.16%0.230.33+30.26%+44.83%291.39+14.14%
Russell 2000US-0.33%-0.00-0.01+27.23%+46.67%301.06+15.24%
S&P 500US+22.48%0.360.52+20.15%+42.31%261.62+11.17%