Linear Regression Slope

Strategy

Data as of Sunday, Mar 22, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+89.48%Net profit$894,821Gross profit$821,606Gross loss$658,297CAGR+3.45%Annualized return+3.45%Monthly average return+0.25%Median monthly return-0.72%
Best month return+6.11%Worst month return-10.02%Rolling 1-month return+14.18%Log return CAGR+1.99%Compounded vs simple return difference-91.24%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+24.26%Average drawdown+11.95%Median drawdown-9.05%Drawdown duration (max)971.8 daysAverage drawdown duration34.6 daysUlcer index12.89Pain index9.51Pain ratio8.67
Drawdown volatility5.41Worst peak-to-trough loss+24.26%% time in drawdown+87.03%Drawdown area863.22Downside deviation+14.58%Semi-variance2.95
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.20Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.43Sortino ratio0.42Calmar ratio0.22Sterling ratio0.22Burke ratio0.79Return / volatility3.49Return / downside risk4.09
Return / max drawdown3.24
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades29Win rate+40.89%Loss rate+59.11%Average win+6.84%Average loss-3.30%Win/Loss ratio2.15Expectancy+0.75%Profit factor1.57
Payoff ratio2.15Best trade+20.17%Worst trade-9.90%Trade return standard deviation+4.54%Consecutive wins (max)3Consecutive losses (max)6
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+16.07%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark0.02Alpha vs benchmark %+3.57%Information ratio-0.48Treynor ratio0.03

Performance Comparison

Compare variants: other parameter variations of the same base strategy.

MetricLinear Regression SlopeLinear Regression Reversion
Return & Growth
Total return+89.48%+6.85%
Net profit$894,821$68,533
Gross profit$821,606$223,265
Gross loss$658,297$154,144
CAGR+3.45%+1.24%
Annualized return+3.45%+1.24%
Monthly average return+0.25%+0.11%
Median monthly return-0.72%+1.28%
Best month return+6.11%+5.90%
Worst month return-10.02%-5.62%
Rolling 1-month return+14.18%+9.54%
Log return CAGR+1.99%+10.02%
Compounded vs simple return difference-91.24%+0.00%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+24.26%+13.68%
Average drawdown+11.95%+4.98%
Median drawdown-9.05%-5.25%
Drawdown duration (max)971.8 days1154.2 days
Average drawdown duration34.6 days52.1 days
Ulcer index12.895.76
Pain index9.515.05
Pain ratio8.677.44
Drawdown volatility5.413.24
Worst peak-to-trough loss+24.26%+13.68%
% time in drawdown+87.03%+88.18%
Drawdown area863.22769.76
Downside deviation+14.58%+17.84%
Semi-variance2.951.50
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio0.200.18
Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.431.67
Sortino ratio0.420.35
Calmar ratio0.220.17
Sterling ratio0.220.17
Burke ratio0.790.28
Return / volatility3.491.05
Return / downside risk4.090.49
Return / max drawdown3.240.90
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades2918
Win rate+40.89%+65.47%
Loss rate+59.11%+34.53%
Average win+6.84%+2.15%
Average loss-3.30%-2.62%
Win/Loss ratio2.150.82
Expectancy+0.75%+0.45%
Profit factor1.571.64
Payoff ratio2.150.82
Best trade+20.17%+4.64%
Worst trade-9.90%-6.78%
Trade return standard deviation+4.54%+1.55%
Consecutive wins (max)35
Consecutive losses (max)63
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+16.07%+7.02%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark0.020.05
Alpha vs benchmark %+3.57%+0.84%
Information ratio-0.48-0.66
Treynor ratio0.030.02

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+19.75%
Net profit$197,489
Gross profit$630,749
Gross loss$402,812
CAGR+3.68%
Annualized return+3.68%
Monthly average return+0.35%
Median monthly return+1.24%
Best month return+4.43%
Worst month return-16.60%
Rolling 1-month return+5.75%
Log return CAGR-14.91%
Compounded vs simple return difference-25.96%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+1704.50%1.323.95+31.13%+51.72%296.33+33.14%
S&P/ASX 200Australia-2.51%-0.06-0.08+16.56%+34.48%290.97+8.87%
BovespaBrazil+5.58%0.100.15+20.83%+40.74%271.16+10.50%
TSX CompositeCanada+15.26%0.320.44+15.22%+48.15%271.46+8.79%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe+7.43%0.140.19+17.30%+50.00%281.25+9.89%
Euronext 100Europe+2.62%0.060.08+18.27%+40.63%321.10+8.89%
CAC 40France+3.19%0.070.09+15.81%+46.67%301.13+9.34%
DAXGermany+18.98%0.340.49+15.02%+46.67%301.55+9.98%
Hang SengHong Kong+1.82%0.020.04+27.82%+31.03%291.13+15.47%
BSE SensexIndia+12.30%0.250.37+16.41%+35.71%281.32+9.17%
Nifty 50India+15.98%0.320.46+15.52%+30.00%301.44+9.42%
Nikkei 225Japan+10.80%0.150.22+28.86%+32.26%311.28+13.69%
KOSPISouth Korea+71.36%0.671.07+19.21%+41.38%292.67+15.63%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland+7.38%0.180.24+17.82%+48.15%271.28+8.07%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+65.68%0.791.28+20.47%+48.15%272.48+12.60%
FTSE 100UK+0.51%0.010.02+15.51%+37.50%321.06+8.22%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS-98.68%-1.12-0.96+99.45%+21.43%420.28+96.03%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS-0.94%-0.02-0.03+20.57%+44.44%271.06+9.66%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+17.26%0.220.32+30.21%+42.86%281.37+13.94%
Russell 2000US+0.85%0.010.02+27.23%+46.67%301.08+15.13%
S&P 500US+19.75%0.320.47+20.15%+40.00%251.57+10.94%