Keltner Width Breakout

Strategy

Data as of Sunday, Mar 22, 2026

MetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValueMetricValue
Return & Growth
Total return+2.61%Net profit$26,132Gross profit$182,761Gross loss$155,334CAGR+0.40%Annualized return+0.40%Monthly average return+0.04%Median monthly return+0.23%
Best month return+5.27%Worst month return-4.14%Rolling 1-month return+8.77%Log return CAGR+5.37%Compounded vs simple return difference-1.43%
Risk & Drawdown
Maximum drawdown+10.65%Average drawdown+5.76%Median drawdown-4.77%Drawdown duration (max)934.6 daysAverage drawdown duration63.4 daysUlcer index5.94Pain index4.92Pain ratio1.38
Drawdown volatility2.73Worst peak-to-trough loss+10.65%% time in drawdown+85.75%Drawdown area619.87Downside deviation+8.98%Semi-variance0.51
Risk-Adjusted Ratios
Sharpe ratio-0.03Rolling 1-month Sharpe1.63Sortino ratio0.02Calmar ratio0.06Sterling ratio0.06Burke ratio0.12Return / volatility0.00Return / downside risk0.10
Return / max drawdown0.37
Trade-Level Statistics
Total trades13Win rate+35.35%Loss rate+64.65%Average win+3.61%Average loss-1.84%Win/Loss ratio1.98Expectancy+0.19%Profit factor1.34
Payoff ratio1.98Best trade+8.25%Worst trade-3.04%Trade return standard deviation+1.61%Consecutive wins (max)2Consecutive losses (max)5
Distribution & Shape
Volatility (annualized)+5.09%
Benchmark (Beta, Alpha, IR)
Beta to benchmark0.04Alpha vs benchmark %-0.06%Information ratio-0.74Treynor ratio0.02

Parameter optimization

Optimization data not available for this strategy. Run npm run pipeline or npm run pipeline:test to generate parameter grid results.

Chart for symbol:

Charts & distributions

Equity curve

Drawdown (underwater)

Rolling 1-month Sharpe

Rolling 1-month return (%)

Period return (≈ monthly)

Return distribution (bar returns)

Performance metrics (tabular)

MetricValue
Total return+0.03%
Net profit$323
Gross profit$226,275
Gross loss$213,631
CAGR+0.01%
Annualized return+0.01%
Monthly average return+0.02%
Median monthly return+0.91%
Best month return+8.03%
Worst month return-7.23%
Rolling 1-month return+9.77%
Log return CAGR+9.58%
Compounded vs simple return difference+3.67%

Index Performance Statistics

Performance metrics for each index symbol tested with this strategy.

IndexCountryReturn %SharpeSortinoMax DD %Win Rate %TradesProfit FactorVolatility %
MervalArgentina+35.14%0.651.15+8.46%+54.55%114.60+9.25%
S&P/ASX 200Australia-2.54%-0.12-0.17+10.50%+33.33%90.81+4.15%
BovespaBrazil-11.31%-0.56-0.70+16.98%+28.57%140.43+4.35%
TSX CompositeCanada+1.93%0.080.10+12.15%+35.29%171.16+4.94%
Euro Stoxx 50Europe-1.22%-0.05-0.07+6.95%+33.33%120.90+4.60%
Euronext 100Europe-7.56%-0.36-0.46+8.94%+30.77%130.53+4.29%
CAC 40France-11.57%-0.50-0.58+11.66%+38.46%130.35+4.93%
DAXGermany-2.53%-0.10-0.13+8.53%+40.00%150.84+5.11%
Hang SengHong Kong-1.03%-0.05-0.07+10.35%+25.00%80.95+4.61%
BSE SensexIndia+10.58%0.410.59+7.47%+50.00%121.95+4.99%
Nifty 50India+12.90%0.460.67+11.07%+50.00%141.87+5.31%
Nikkei 225Japan-2.39%-0.09-0.13+15.08%+23.08%130.93+5.55%
KOSPISouth Korea+35.32%0.781.24+11.17%+46.67%153.80+7.70%
Swiss MarketSwitzerland-5.43%-0.26-0.33+5.87%+38.46%130.54+4.37%
Taiwan WeightedTaiwan+26.31%0.691.11+10.10%+57.14%143.15+6.86%
FTSE 100UK-14.50%-1.05-1.27+14.86%+0.00%110.00+3.02%
CBOE Volatility IndexUS+0.00%--+0.00%---+0.00%
Dow Jones Industrial AverageUS-6.47%-0.30-0.40+10.38%+15.38%130.63+4.43%
NASDAQ CompositeUS+14.71%0.380.56+10.19%+47.06%171.86+7.19%
Russell 2000US-15.49%-0.64-0.81+20.93%+26.67%150.39+5.36%
S&P 500US+0.03%0.000.00+11.90%+33.33%151.06+5.80%